Conf = Big East
Nickname = DC Hoyas Coach = Kevin WarnGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.3609772 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 203 A Loyola (MD) Patriot ( 7- 8, 92.8) 10-18 210 H Johns Hopkins B1G (11- 4, 96.9) 9-11 217 A Penn Ivy ( 9- 6, 94.3) 12- 9 225 A Notre Dame ACC (13- 1, 99.9) 11-10 302 H Brown Ivy ( 3-11, 90.8) 11- 5 305 A High Point Atlantic 10 ( 9- 7, 91.9) 14- 8 319 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 3-10, 89.4) 21- 9 323 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (10- 6, 93.6) 14- 8 330 A Providence Big East ( 7- 8, 92.1) 15-10 406 H Marquette Big East ( 4-10, 89.6) 11- 8 413 A Denver Big East (12- 3, 96.2) 8-10 420 H St Johns (NY) Big East ( 4-11, 87.8) 20- 6 426 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 7, 93.8) 12- 4 502 N Providence Big East ( 7- 8, 92.1) 14-13 504 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 7, 93.8) 11-10 512 H Penn State B1G (11- 5, 96.9) 12- 9 518 N Notre Dame ACC (13- 1, 99.9)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 203 A Loyola (MD) 10-18 -8 2 --- -9.91 210 H Johns Hopkins 9-11 -2 0 - -2.18 217 A Penn 12- 9 3 1 1.68 225 A Notre Dame 11-10 1 -4 ++ 5.24 302 H Brown 11- 5 6 6 -0.29 305 A High Point 14- 8 6 3 + 2.20 319 H Dartmouth 21- 9 12 7 0.00 323 A Richmond 14- 8 6 2 + 3.98 330 A Providence 15-10 5 3 1.39 406 H Marquette 11- 8 3 7 -- -4.00 413 A Denver 8-10 -2 0 -1.45 420 H St Johns (NY) 20- 6 14 9 0.00 426 A Villanova 12- 4 8 1 ++ 5.10 502 N Providence 14-13 1 4 - -3.31 504 A Villanova 11-10 1 1 -0.90 512 H Penn State 12- 9 3 0 + 2.89UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 203 A Loyola (MD) 10-18 -8 2 --- -9.91 406 H Marquette 11- 8 3 7 -- -4.00 210 H Johns Hopkins 9-11 -2 0 - -2.18 502 N Providence 14-13 1 4 - -3.31OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 A Notre Dame 11-10 1 -4 ++ 5.24 426 A Villanova 12- 4 8 1 ++ 5.10 305 A High Point 14- 8 6 3 + 2.20 323 A Richmond 14- 8 6 2 + 3.98 512 H Penn State 12- 9 3 0 + 2.89
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.36 Power Rank................. 7 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 84.09 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 18 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6482 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 14 RPI Rating............... .6247 RPI Rank................... 8 Champ. Probability ...... 3.5 Championship Rank ......... 10 Selection sum ........... 26 Selection Rank ............ 8 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 75. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 7 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 80. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 4 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7